+ All Categories
Home > Documents > Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough...

Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough...

Date post: 12-Sep-2020
Category:
Upload: others
View: 3 times
Download: 0 times
Share this document with a friend
33
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS TECHNOLOGICAL CHOICE UNDER ENVIRONMENTALISTSPARTICIPATION IN EMISSIONS TRADING SYSTEMS Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José Gil-Moltó, University of Leicester, UK Working Paper No. 09/09 April 2009
Transcript
Page 1: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS

TECHNOLOGICAL CHOICE UNDER

ENVIRONMENTALISTS’ PARTICIPATION IN

EMISSIONS TRADING SYSTEMS

Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK

Maria José Gil-Moltó, University of Leicester, UK

Working Paper No. 09/09

April 2009

Page 2: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

Technological choice under environmentalists�

participation in Emissions Trading Systems

Elias Asproudis�

Dpt Economics

Loughborough University

Maria José Gil-Moltóyz

Dpt Economics

University of Leicester

April 7, 2009

Abstract

We model competition in an emissions trading system (ETS) as a

game between two �rms and environmental group. In a previous stage,

�rms endogenously choose their manufacturing technologies. Our re-

sults show that there is an inverted U-shape relationship between how

polluting the chosen technology is and the degree of the environmen-

talists�impure altruism. Firms choose a less polluting technology in

the presence of the environmentalists than in their absence only if they

are characterised by intermediate degrees of impure altruism.

Keywords: ETS; Technology Choice; Induced Technological Change;

Impure Altruism

JEL Codes: L13 Q30 O31

[email protected]; Dpt Economics, Loughborough University, Loughborough, LE113TU (United Kingdom).

[email protected]; Dpt Economics, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE1 7RH(United Kingdom).

zBoth authors thank insightful comments by J.C. Bárcena-Ruíz, N. Georgantzís, R.Faulí-Oller and P. Zanchettin. Elias Asproudis gratefully acknowledges the �nancial sup-port received from Loughborough University where he is conducting his PhD studies.

1

Page 3: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

1 Introduction

Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market based instru-

ments used to control pollution. The idea of the ETSs or permits markets

has its origins in Coase (1960) and Dales (1967) and relies upon the creation

of economic incentives to reduce pollution through the exchange of permits.

Following the Kyoto Protocol (1998) ETSs have become major tools in the

anti-pollution policy in a number of countries. For example, in the US, there

are ETSs in place for the reduction of SOx and NOx emissions. Also, the

European Union (EU) has implemented an ETS for the reduction of CO2.1

Interestingly, several legal frameworks opened the participation in the

Emissions Trading System not only to �rms but also to third parties, such

as citizens, consumers, environmental organizations, etc. In other words,

both polluters and victims can participate in the ETS and their interac-

tion will determine pollution levels. This right to participate is comtem-

plated, for example, in the United Nations�Framework Convention for Cli-

mate Change (Guidelines FCCP/ CP/ 2001/ 2/ Add.4) and in the EU�s

Directive 2003/87/EC. Similarly, in the US, third parties can participate in

the Sulphur Allowance Trading Program (SAT) and in the Clean Air Incen-

tives Scheme (RECLAM). Groups such as the Acid Retirement Fund or the

Clean Air Conservancy Trust are examples of NGOs who use their funds

(mainly collected through charitable donations) to purchase permits from

ETSs. By withdrawing permits from the market, this type of organisations

hope to increase the price of polluting and therefore induce �rms to invest

in technologies to reduce their emissions.2

The reasons why third parties should be allowed to participate have been

the focus of a number of theoretical contributions. For example, Smith and

1This is the largest application of ETS in geographic terms up until now (Newbery,2008).

2For example, this objective appears very clearly stated in the Acid Rain RetirementFund�s ethos.

2

Page 4: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

Yates (2003a, 2003b) and Shrestha (1998) show that the thirds�participation

in the permits�market gives valuable information to the regulator regarding

the market equilibrium when the regulator faces uncertainty: If third parties

purchase permits, it must be that the initial number of permits was higher

than the optimum. Also regarding the regulators�uncertainty, English and

Yates (2007) show that the Kwerel�s mechanism may be e¤ective only if the

citizens take part in the ETS.3

Interestingly, the academic literature already provides empirical evidence

on the presence of the thirds in ETS and its e¤ects. For example, Schwarze

and Zapfel (2000) documents the participation of third parties in the SAT and

the RECLAIM. Joskow et al. (1998) showed that third parties o¤ered very

high prices in the auctions of SO2 permits in the 90s. Israel (2007) examines

the magnitude of the participation by third parties (mainly environmental

groups) between the years 1993 and 2006, concluding that the number of

permits withdrawn by these agents is not very high relative to the total

number of permits. According to the author the above fact could also be

interpreted as an indication that the US Environmental Protection Agency

had targets close to the social optimum.

Despite the relevance of the issue, the literature on ETS and technology

choice has largely overlooked the implications of thirds�participation in ETSs

for �rms�technological choice. A related literature strand explores the link-

ages between the existence of policies against climate change and the degree

of technological change. For example, Newell et al. (1999) and Popp (2002)

analyze how higher energy prices induce a higher technological innovation4.

Regarding tradable permits, Fischer et al. (2003) and Requate and Unold

3Recently, Rousse (2008) also highlights the advantages of the direct participation inthe carbon emissions trading systems. Malueg and Yates (2006) also show that the citizensmay prefer to participate in the permits�market under a grandfathered system instead oflobbying the regulator to reduce the total number of allocated permits.

4See also Chakravorty et al. (1997). Also Goulder and Schneider (1999) and Goulderand Mathai (2000) examine the implications of Induced Technological Change (ITC) forCO2 abatement policy.

3

Page 5: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

(2003) compare the propensity to technological innovation generated by sev-

eral market-based instruments and Kerr and Newell (2003) show that ETSs

provide more e¢ cient incentives for green technology adoption than taxes.

In the same spirit, Kennedy (1999) argues that the regulator can reduce the

quantity of available permits as a way to generate incentives for �rms to

adopt a greener techonology even in the presence of uncertainty about the

environmental damages. However, none of these contributions incorporates

the participation of the thirds in the ETS.

The objective of our paper is to study the interaction of �rms and envi-

ronmental groups in ETS and the implications of this for �rms�technological

choices. We introduce a duopsony that must purchase permits in an ETS.

The �rms can choose the type of production technology they will use. The

technologies available to �rms di¤er in their environmental credentials and

their set-up or adoption costs. The more polluting the production techology

is, the more permits the �rm requires per unit of output but also the lower the

adoption cost. We allow an environmental group to purchase (and therefore

withdraw) permits from the market. The price of the permits will depend on

the aggregation of the �rms�and the environmentalists�demand of permits.

It should be obvious that the higher the number of permits withdrawn by the

environmentalists, the higher the permit prices and therefore, in principle,

the more incentives �rms will have to adopt to a greener technology. Follow-

ing Hahn and Stavins (1992), we consider that the environmental group not

only cares about the level of pollution or externalities but also about total

surplus.

In the spirit of Andreoni (1989, 1990), we assume that the members of

the group gain a non-material utility from withdrawing permits.5 Andreoni

(1989, 1990) highlights that people are impurely altruistic and may obtain

some gains in utility from charitable giving. In our paper, we assume that the

5We consider members of the group not only the activists but also the donors or con-tributors to the group.

4

Page 6: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

environmentalists feel that they do something right or fair by withdrawing

permits and this feeling increases their own utility (through self-satisfaction

or warm-glow). This "impurely altruistic" behavior introduces a distortion

in the market, as the environmentalists might be interested in withdrawing

more permits than socially optimal. Therefore, the presence on the envi-

ronmentalists in the ETS does not guarantee a �rst best solution. In the

paper we will study how the emission levels and technological choice are

a¤ected by the environmentalists�presence in the ETS and their degree of

impure altruism and study the equilibrium outcomes with and without their

participation.

Our results show that there is an inverted U-shape relationship between

how polluting the chosen technology is and the degree of the environmental-

ists�impure altruism. Moreover, �rms tend to choose a "greener" technology

in the presence of the environmentalists in the ETS than in their absence only

if the environmentalists are characterised by intermediate degrees of impure

altruism. Higher degrees of impure altruism can actually induce �rms to

adopt worse technologies but can also lead to lower emissions levels through

the reduction of output.

The rest of the paper is structured as follows: In section 2 we present

our model. In section 3 we solve the output stage. In section 4 we analyse

the technology choice by �rms when the environmentalists do not partici-

pate in the ETS. In section 4, we study the case of the environmentalists�

participation in the ETS. That is, their behavior in the ETS and �rms�tech-

nology choices. In section 5 we conduct some comparative static analysis

regarding technology choices, emissions and output levels in both settings

(with and without the environmentalists�participation in the ETS). Section

6 concludes.

5

Page 7: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

2 The model

In our model, two monopolistic �rms act as duopsonists in the permits�mar-

ket. Each �rm faces a linear inverse demand function such as

Pi = a� qi (1)

where qi is �rm i�s level of output produced by �rm i. Prior to start produc-

ing, �rms choose their manufacturing technology from a spectrum of available

technologies which di¤er in the level of emissions derived from the production

of each unit of output. Firms must buy permits to o¤set their emissions. One

interpretation of our model is that the �rms are new entrants to the mar-

ket and they do not receive permits through grandfathering. An alternative

interpretation is that, even with grandfathering, �rms do not have enough

permits with their initial allocation. In that case, the demand of permits

would represent the extra permits needed above the initial allocation.

The choice of technology determines the number of permits required to

produce each unit of output. We denote the number of permits required per

unit of output by k and will use k to index the technologies available to �rms.

The greener (the more environmentally friendly) the technology is, the lower

its associated k. For the sake of simplicity and without loss of generality, we

assume that k 2 (0; 1]. Consequently, even if a �rm chooses a very "green"

technology (k close to 0), it still needs to purchase some permits to cover its

emissions.

The total number of emissions and, as a consequence, the total number of

permits demanded by �rm i depends on the type of technology (how polluting

the technology is) and the level of output chosen by �rm i

yi = kiqi (2)

We assume that the available technologies di¤er also in the investment

required to adopt them

6

Page 8: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

Fi = (1� ki)2 (3)

Our modelling of the technology costs implies that adopting a greener

technology entails higher adoption costs than adopting a more polluting one.6

The innovation costs are assumed to be quadratic to re�ect the existence of

diminishing returns to investment.

For simplicity, we assume that �rms do not incur in any other production

costs than those derived from the acquisition of permits. Thus, �rms pro�ts

can be written as follows

�i = Piqi �Ryi � (1� ki)2 (4)

where R is the unit price of permits.

We assume that in the permits market there is a third player: an environ-

mental group. The environmentalists can withdraw permits from the market

by purchasing a number x of permits. This will a¤ect the equilibrium in the

permits market and subsequently, �rms� technological choice. We assume

that the price of permits, R, is an increasing function of the total number of

demanded permits

R = c+ h(yi + yj + x) (5)

The unit price of permits, R, can be interpreted in our modelling as the

equilibrium price of permits in the ETS market. In other words, we are

implicitly modelling the supply of permits.7 For the sake of simplicity, we

6The case in which cleaner technologies are also less costly to adopt is less interest-ing to study as in such case, the incentives of �rms would be aligned with those of theenvironment.

7The supply side can be thought to be constituted by either the regulator or those �rmsthat already have acceptable clean technology and excess of permits. They could be �rmsin other markets or even located in other countries with emissions levels well below thetargets. For example, there is ample evidence that in the countries from the Former SovietUnion (FSU), the total quantity of the permits is far above that of the real emissions. The

7

Page 9: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

normalise c to 0 and h to 1. Our modelling of the price of permits di¤ers from

those contributions which assume that �rms are price-takers and also from

those contributions, such as Boyd and Conley (1997) and Conley and Smith

(2005), where �rms can buy permits at personalized prices. Our model is

suitable to represent situations in which a small number of �rms are present

in the market (say, for example, electricity companies) and therefore have

some degree of market power but they have to buy permits from a centralised

market.

We assume that the environmentalists are impurely altruists, that is their

behavior is (partly) driven by the maximisation of their own utility. The

environmentalists�maximize the sum of consumer and producers surplus (CS

and PS respectively) minus the emissions (E) and the costs of withdrawing

permits (Rx) plus the satisfaction or utility gained from withdrawing permits

(zx).8 The Objective Function therefore is:

OEG = (CS + PS)� E �Rx+ zx (6)

The last term in OEG is related to the impure altruism which characterises

the environmental group. In our model, the impure altruism is measured

by a parameter, z, which represents the utility gains experienced by the

environmentalists from withdrawing one unit of permits. More generally, the

parameter z would be the extra weight that the environmentalists give to the

reduction of emissions. This could be understood as the priority they give to

the environmental objectives over other objectives such as the maximization

excess permits -up from the real emissions to the Kyoto targets- are called �hot air�. It iswidely recognised that the FSU countries will constitute a very large part of the supplyof permits in the upcoming years (see Stevens and Rose, 2002; Bohringer and Vogt, 2003,2004; Klepper and Peterson, 2005; Bohringer et al. 2006; Bernard et al. 2007).

8We do not include the revenues generated by the selling of permits as normally envi-ronmental groups�actions are targeted to a speci�c industry and/or country. Therefore,we assume they only take into account welfare and externalities generated in a particularindustry or country. The relaxation of this assumption does not change qualitatively ourresults. We discuss this later in the paper. See footnote 19.

8

Page 10: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

of consumer welfare and/or producer welfare.9

As standard, PS is de�ned as the aggregation of �rms�pro�ts across the

two markets

PS =

2Xi=1

�i (7)

and, given the linearity of the (inverse) demand functions, CS can be written

as

CS =2Xi=1

qi2

2(8)

We assume that there is one unit of externality produced per each unit

of emissions

E =2Xi=1

yi (9)

From now on, we will use the term "emissions" as a synonim of "exter-

nalities" or "pollution". The timing of the game is as follows: In the �rst

stage, �rms choose their production technologies.10 In the second stage, the

environmentalists purchase permits. In the last stage, �rms choose quan-

tities (implicitly determining their demand of permits).11 We assume that

�rms choose simultaneously in stages 1 and 3. We solve the game by back-

wards induction to analyse the Subgame Perfect Nash Equilibrium (SPNE).

For comparison purposes, we solve the model without the environmentalists�

9Our model is related to Ahlheim and Schneider (2002), as we also (implicitly) introducethe third parties�preferences in our model. However, our contribution di¤ers from theirsin that we consider competition for permits between the citizens and the �rms, while theyconsider the case where the thirds, households, can only sell permits.10Technology choices are long term decisions. Therefore, we assume that these decisions

take place in the stage preceeding competition in the ETS and output markets.11Reducing the second and third stages to a single stage where �rms and environmental-

ists take decisions simultaneously does not alter qualitative our results but substantiallycomplicates the calculations.

9

Page 11: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

participation (that is x = 0 and the game is reduced to stages 1 and 3).

3 The environmentalists are not allowed to

participate in the ETS market

In this section, we �nd the equilibrium of the game when the environmental-

ists are excluded from the ETS market. In the last stage, �rms choose their

output levels in order to maximize their pro�ts. The �rst order condition

(FOC henceforth) yields:

@�i@qi

= a� 2qi � k2i qi � ki(kiqi + kjqj) = 0 (10)

Solving for qi, we obtain the reaction function of �rm i

qRi =a� kikjqj2(1 + ki)2

(11)

It is relevant to see that �rms�outputs are strategic substitutes, even in the

absence of competition in the product market. In fact, although �rms do not

compete in the �nal market, their output levels are not independent from

each other�s, given that the number of permits �rms demand is a function of

their output levels and they but permits from the same market.

Solving the system of reaction functions, we obtain the equilibrium level

of output12

q�i;NG =a(2� kikj + 2k2j )

4(1 + k2j ) + k2i (4 + 3k

2j )

(12)

It is tedious but easy to check that for any values of ki and kj between 0

and 1, the derivative of q�i;NG with respect to ki;

12Second order conditions for a maximum are ful�lled.

10

Page 12: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

@q�i;NG@ki

=a(�kj(4(1 + k2j ) + k2i (4 + 3k2j ))� 2ki(4 + 3k2j )((2� kikj + 2k2j )))

4(1 + k2j ) + k2i (4 + 3k

2j )

;

(13)

is negative. Interestingly, the more polluting the technology used by �rms

is, the less they produce. The intuition for this is that as ki increases, �rms

require more permits to produce the same level of output. Furthermore, as a

consequence of this, the price of permits increases (due to more permits being

demanded). This increases �rm i�s marginal cost of production, leading �rm

i to decrease its output. Our �rst result is summarised in the next remark.

Remark 1 Firms produce more, the less polluting their production technol-ogy is.

Substituting q�i;NG and q�j;NG into �rms�pro�t maximising and rearranging

yields

�i(q�i;NG) = (1 + k

2i )(q

�i;NG)

2 � (1� ki)2 (14)

In the �rst stage, �rms choose ki to maximise their pro�ts. The �rst order

condition yields

@�i@ki

= 2ki(q�i;NG)

2 + 2(q�i;NG)@q�i;NG@ki

(1 + k2i ) + 2 (1� ki) = 0 (15)

In this paper, we focus on the symmetric solution ki = kj = k. The FOC

evaluated in symmetry are given by13

13We must reassure the reader that we have imposed ki = kj = k only after having cal-culated the derivative. That is, �rst, we have calculated @�i

@kiand only after calculating this

derivative, we have evaluated it in symmetry. Imposing ki = kj = k prior to calculatingthe derivative would yield the cooperative solution.

11

Page 13: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

@�i@ki

=�2( (2 + 3k2)3(�2 + 2k � k2 + k3) + a2k(6 + 11k2 � 6k4)

(2 + k2)(2 + 3k2)3= 0 (16)

It can be easily checked that the SOC for a maximum14 holds for any

k 2 (0; 1) for > 0:08601a2. From now on, we assume that and a take

values that ful�ll this inequality so that to guarantee the existence of interior

solutions.

Condition 1: and a take values such that > 0:08601a2.

Using the implicit function theorem we can characterise the relationship

between the equilibrium k in symmetry, k�NG, and the parameters of the

model, a and : Furthermore, k�NG will be unique in the relevant range k 2(0; 1): Our �nding is the following15

Remark 2 k�NG(a; ) is increasing in and decreasing in a.

In other words, the higher and the lower a, the more polluting �rms�

technology will be in the absence of the environmentalists from the ETS. The

intuition behind our result follows: The parameters a and are related to the

pro�tability of the investment in a technology. Although the parameter is

invariant with the technology choice, it magni�es the di¤erences between the

costs of adopting a clean or a polluting technology. Essentially scales up

the di¤erences in the technology costs. As a consequence, the higher , the

more expensive "cleaner" technologies (lower ki) relative to "more polluting"

ones (higher ki).

The market conditions are also important to explain the technology adop-

tion. The parameter a is related to the size of the market. Higher a indicates

larger market sizes and therefore, higher pro�tability (other things being

14 @2�i@k2i

= �(2 + 2a2(16�44k2�168k4�183k6�72k8)(2+k2)2(2+3k2)4 ) < 0

15The proof is in the appendix.

12

Page 14: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

equal) of investing in a "greener" technology. Higher market sizes will lead

to higher output levels (other things being equal). This, in turn, will lead

to higher demand of permits and therefore higher permit prices. Given this,

�rms have a stronger incentive to invest in a "greener" technology in larger

markets. Figure 1 despicts the equilibrium k, k�NG, against the ratio =a2.

The reader can easily see that the equilibrium technology choice is more

polluting (higher k), the higher the ratio =a2.

It is also interesting to study the type of strategic interaction between

�rms. Are the technological choices made by �rms strategic substitutesor complements? We focus our analysis on the relationship between �rms�choices in the area close to the equilibrium (that is, around k�NG). We can

characterise the sign of the derivative @ki=@kj using the implicit function

theorem.16 The sign of the derivative is positive for k < 0:816497 and neg-

ative for k > 0:816497. This implies that (in symmetry) the technological

choices made by �rms are strategic complements for k < 0:816497 and strate-

gic substitutes for k > 0:816497. Given that k�NG(a; ) is increasing in and

decreasing in a, we can therefore say that �rms�technological choices will

tend to be strategic substitutes large values of and small market sizes and

strategic complements if the opposite holds.

4 The environmentalists are allowed to par-

ticipate in the ETS market.

In this section, we �nd the equilibrium of the game when the environmental-

ists can participate in the ETS. In the last stage, �rms choose their output

levels in order to maximize their pro�ts. The �rst order condition (FOC

henceforth) yields:

16See proof in the appendix.

13

Page 15: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

@�i@qi

= a� 2qi � k2i qi � ki(kiqi + kjqj + x) = 0 (17)

Solving for qi, we obtain the reaction function of �rm i

qRi =a� kikjqj � kix2(1 + ki)2

(18)

As in the case without the environmentalists�participation in the ETS, �rms�

outputs are strategic substitutes, even in the absence of competition in the

product market. Furthermore, �rm i�s output and the number of permits

withdrawn by the environmentalists are also strategic substitutes.

Solving the system of reaction functions, we obtain the equilibrium level

of output17

q�i;G =a(2� kikj + 2k2j )� ki(2 + k2j )x

4(1 + k2j ) + k2i (4 + 3k

2j )

(19)

Substituting q�i;G into the environmentalists�objective function and rear-

ranging yields

OEG =2Xi=1

(1=2)(q�i;G)2+

2Xi=1

[(1+k2i )(q�i;G)

2� (1�ki)2]�2Xi=1

(kiq�i;G)�Rx+zx

(20)

The environmentalists choose the number of permits to buy, x, in order

to maximise their objective function, OEG. This maximisation problem has

a solution x�(ki; kj) which in symmetry, (ki = kj = k) is18

x�G;S =�10a(k + k3) + (2 + 3k2)(2z + k2(2 + 3z))

2(4 + 5k2 + k4)(21)

17Second order conditions for a maximum are ful�lled.18The expression for x�G;S outside the symmetric path is available from the authors upon

request.

14

Page 16: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

Several interesting observations can be made from the above result. First,

it can easily be seen that@x�;G;S@a

< 0. This means that the optimal number of

withdrawn permits is decreasing in the size of market. Although this result

might sound counterintuitive, it can be easily understood if one takes into

account the pro�tability of the investment in innovation. As discussed above,

the higher a is, the more pro�table investing on a less polluting technology

is. Therefore, the higher a, the less necessary it is to induce �rms to adopt

"greener" technologies by making permits more scarce.19

Moreover, the number of permits withdrawn by the environmentalists

is increasing in their degree of impure altruism (@x�G;S@z

> 0). In addition,

the higher k (the less clean the chosen technologies are) the more rapidly

the number of withdrawn permits, x, increase with the degree of the envi-

ronmentalists�impure altruism. (@x�G;S@z@k

> 0) In other words, the less green

the technology chosen by �rms are, the more the behavior of the impurely

altruistic environmentalists is reinforced.

Furthermore, for relatively large values of a and/or relatively low values

of z, the environmentalists would not participate in the ETS, as x�G;S would

be negative or zero.20 A negative x�G indicates that the environmentalists

would have incentive to increase the supply of permits. However, this is not

a possibility in our modelling. Therefore, for relatively large a and/or rela-

tively low values of z, we �nd a corner solution where the environmentalists

choose not to withdraw any permits. This could constitute another expla-

nation for Israel (2007)�s observation that the environmentalists have not

been participating very intensively in ETSs: Non-participation might have

19If the objective function included also the revenues from selling permits, x�G would behigher, as there would be an additional incentive of withdrawing permits: By withdrawingpermits, their would increase and as a cosequence the revenues from selling permits. Thiswould be equivalent to having a larger z. Therefore including the revenues in the objectivefunction of the environmentalists would not change qualitatively the results regarding�rms�technology choices.20In other words, there is a critical value of a, acv = 2k2

10(k+k3)+(2+3k2)2z10(k+k3) , below which the

environmentalists do not take part in the ETS. It can be easily seen that acv is increasingin z.

15

Page 17: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

been the result of their optimization problem and a voluntary decision by

the environmentalists of excluding themselves from the ETS.

Subsitituting x�(ki; kj) into the pro�t function and applying the FOC

yields

@�i;G@ki

= 2ki(q�i;G)

2 + 2(q�i;G)@q�i;G@ki

(1 + k2i ) + 2 (1� ki) = 0 (22)

Again, we focus on the symmetric solution. In symmetry, q�i;G and@q�i;G@ki

can be written as follows 21

q�;i;G =(4a(1 + k2)� 2k3)� (2k + 3k)z

2(4 + 5k2 + k4)(23)

@q�i;G@ki

= �2k2(16 + 18k2 + 6k3 � k4) + �1 � �22(2 + k2)(4 + 5k2 + k4)2

(24)

where �1 = ak(12+k2(25+22k2+9k3)) and �2 = z(16+k2(56+52k2+14k6�3k8)). Unfortunately, the closed-form solution for the �rst order condition

is again very intrincate, therefore we resort to the implicit function theorem

to characterise the relationship between the optimal k and z. Focusing on

the symmetric case and on the combinations of parameters where the SOCs

hold22, we can show that there is only one root in the relevant intervals (k 2(0; 1], z > 0). This implies that there is a unique symmetric equilibrium in

the relevant parameter space. The following remark characterises the optimal

(symmetric) choice of technology in the presence of the environmentalists (the

proof is in the appendix):

Remark 3 There is a critical value of z, zcv, above (below) which k�G(z) isdecreasing (increasing) in z. The critical value of z is increasing in a.

21Symmetry has been imposed only after having calculated the derivative. After sub-stituting x�(ki; kj) into q�i , we have calculated its derivative with respect of ki. Thisderivative evaluated in symmetry (ki = kj = k) is shown in (24).22The second order conditions for a maximum are available from the authors upon

request.

16

Page 18: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

In other words, there is a U-shape relationship between the technological

choice and the degree of impure altruism. As z increases, �rms will tend

to invest in technologies that are less polluting (lower k) up until a critical

point of z, where increases in z will actually lead to investments in more

polluting technologies. The intuition behind this result is the following: As

z increases, the environmentalists tend to withdraw more permits from the

market. This has two e¤ects: First, �rms tend to choose cleaner technologies,

as the marginal cost of producing is higher due to the lower number of permits

which are required per unit of output. Second, �rms reduce their output

levels (note that q�i is decreasing in x). As �rms reduce their production

levels, the investment in cleaner technologies becomes less pro�table. The

interaction between these two e¤ects will determine the technology choice.

For low levels of z, the �rst e¤ect dominates the second e¤ect. However, for

high levels of z, the second e¤ect dominates. The remark also states that zcvis increasing in a, implying that zcv will be further away from the origin the

higher a is (that is, the curve shifts outwards).23 This implies that higher

values of z will be required for k�G(z) to be increasing if a is high than if a is

low. The reason behind this is that a is directly related with the pro�tability

of investing in R&D (recall that high a implies large market sizes). Large

market sizes make the second e¤ect above less likely to outweight the �rst

e¤ect.

We �nish this section discussing the strategic interaction between �rms

when the environmentalists are present in the ETS. In the previous section

we showed �rms�technological choices could be either strategic substitutes or

strategic complements depending on the technology and market size condi-

tions. When the environmentalists are present in the ETS, �rms�technologi-

cal choices will be more likely to be strategic substitutes.24 The intuitionis the following: If �rm i chooses a more polluting technology (higher k), the

23Further, for very low a, zcv would be negative. In such case, k�G(z) would be strictlyincreasing for any z > 0.24The derivation of this result is available from the authors upon request.

17

Page 19: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

environmentalists will tend to increase the number of permits they withdraw.

Therefore, the best reply of �rm j would be to choose a cleaner technolgy

instead to compensate for the increase emissions by �rm i.

5 Comparative Analysis

In this section we compare the equilibrium level of emissions and technol-

ogy choice across the two cases solved above, namely the ETS without the

environmentalists� participation and the ETS with the environmentalists�

participation. Before we compare the two cases (non-participation vs. par-

ticipation of the environmentalists), it is useful to study the e¤ect of degree

of impure altruism on output and emissions levels. We conduct this analysis

in the next subsection.

5.1 E¤ect of the degree of impure altruism on output

and emissions

Here we analyse the relationship between the degree of impure altruism (z)

and the equilibrium levels of output and emissions. The equilibrium level of

output is

q�i;G =(4a(1 + k�G

2)� 2k�G3)� (2k�G + 3k�G3)z2(4 + 5k�G

2 + k�G4)

(25)

Before proceeding to analyse whether the output is increasing in z, it is

relevant to show the relationship between the equilibrium output and the

technology choice when the greens participate in the ETS:

Remark 4 The equilibrium output level is decreasing in k.

Proof.@q�i;G@k�G

evaluated in symmetry can be written as@q�i;G@k�G

= �12(4+5k2+4k4)2

(t1+

t2), where t1 = 8ak + 8z + k2(24 + 26z) and t2 = k4(10 + 9z) � k6(2 + 3z):

18

Page 20: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

Given that k lies within the interval (0; 1), it is easy to see that t2 > 0, and

therefore (t1 + t2) > 0. As a consequence,@q�i;G@k�G

< 0. QED.

In other words, the more polluting the chosen technologies are, the less

�rms produce. Regarding the analysis of the relationship betweek q�i;G and

z, it is important to notice that an increase in z will have two e¤ects on q�i;G,

a direct e¤ect and an indirect e¤ect, through k�G, given that k�G is a function

of z. That is

dq�i;Gdz

=@q�i;G@z

+@q�i;G@k�G

@k�G@z

(26)

The analysis of the above decomposition results in the following remark:

Remark 5 The equilibrium level of output when the environmentalists par-

ticipate in the ETS may only be increasing in z if z is relatively small

(z < zcv) and���@q�i;G@k�G

@k�G@z

��� > ���@q�i;G@z ���.Proof. It is easy to see from (19), that holding k constant,

@q�i;G@z

< 0.

Further, from remark 4, we know that the equilibrium ouput is decreasing

in k. Lastly, as we have shown in section 4, we know that @k�G@z

is negative

(positive) in z for z < (>) zcv. All in all,dq�i;Gdz

is necessarily negative for

relatively high values of z and is positive for relatively low values of z if and

only if���@q�i;G@k�G

@k�G@z

��� > ���@q�i;G@z ��� : The rest of the remark follows.Regarding emissions (y�i;G = k

�i;Gq

�i;G) and its relationship with z, we can

also decompose the e¤ect of z on y�i;G as follows

dy�i;Gdz

=@k�G@zq�i;G +

@q�i;G@z

k�i;G (27)

The analysis of the separate e¤ects indy�i;Gdz

leads to the following remark:

Remark 6 The total level of emissions will be increasing in z if

i) z is low ( z < zcv) and���@q�i;G@z k�i;G��� > ���@k�G@z q�i;G��� or

19

Page 21: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

if ii) z is high ( z > zcv) and���@q�i;G@z k�i;G��� <���@k�G@z q�i;G���.

Proof. We know that q�i;G > 0 and k�i;G > 0: Further, following remark 5, we

know that q�i;G can only be increasing in z for relatively high values of z. We

also know that k�G is U-shaped with respect to z: Therefore for low values of

z (where @k�G@z< 0), the level of emissions can be increasing in z if

@q�i;G@z

> 0

and���@q�i;G@z k�i;G��� > ���@k�G@z q�i;G���. For high values of z (where @k�G

@z> 0),

@q�i;G@z

is

negative and therefore the total level of emissions could be increasing in z if���@q�i;G@z k�i;G��� < ���@k�G@z q�i;G���. QED.5.2 Technology Choice

Here we compare the technology choice with and without the enviorn-

mentalists�participation. We have shown before that k�G is a U-shaped with

respect to z. Further, k�NG is not a function of z. The following lemma com-

pares k�G and k�NG and shows that k

�G > k

�NG for at least one range of values

of z for each pair (a; ). For the purpose of making the comparison of k�Gand k�NG more clear, let us provisionally relax the assumption that z > 0.

Remark 7 For each pair of values (a; ), there is a critical value of z, zlbeyond which k�G(z) > k

�NG.

Proof. From remark 3 we know that there is a critical value of z, zcv, above(below) which k�G(z) is decreasing (increasing) in z. We also know that k

�NG

does not depend on z, that is, it is constant. It follows that k�G and k�NG may

cross once, twice or k�G > k�NG within the feasible range of z, z > 0:The rest

of the remark follows from the functional form of k�G: QED.

The intuition for the result above follows: The participation of the envi-

ronmentalists will lead to higher permit prices than in they were not partici-

pating. This will lead to the two e¤ects discussed above: Technology substi-

tution (higher permit prices make the cleaner technology relatively cheaper)

and output reduction (�rms produce less because the increase in the price of

20

Page 22: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

permits implies an increase in their marginal cost of production). As z in-

creases, the second e¤ect becomes stronger reducing the incentives to invest

on "cleaner" technologies. It follows that there is a value of z (zl) which is

high enough to induce the adoption of a more polluting technology than the

one that would be adopted in the absence of the environmentalists. Below

this value of z, the participation of the environmentalists will lead to the

adoption of cleaner technologies. For completeness, let us discuss the case

where z is relatively low. In such a case, x�G could be zero or negative.25 This

implies a corner solution in the sense that the environmentalists would not

withdraw any permits from the ETS. For low values of z, the environmen-

talists would choose not to participate in the permits market and therefore,

allowing the environmentalists to participate. Therefore, the two cases (al-

lowing and not allowing the environmentalists to participate) may lead to

the same results for low values of z.

We can illustrate the above with some numerical examples. Recall that

the technological choice (in the absence of the environmentalists) depends on

a and : Take the case of a = 1:5 and = 1, the technology choice when the

environmentalists are absent from the ETS yields k�NG = 0:830. Interestingly,

the presence of the environmental group would render more polluting tech-

nology choices (k higher than 0:830) for z > 1:912. Furthermore, if z < 0:445

the environmentalists would not participate in the ETS (even if allowed). If

0:445 < z < 1:912, the environmenalists� participation would lead to the

adoption of less polluting technologies.

5.3 Emissions and Output Levels

In this section, we compare the equilibrium levels of output and emissions

across the two cases (with and without the environmentalits�participation

in the ETS). First, it is important to notice that for a given k, �rms produce

more in the absence of the environmentalists. This also leads to a higher

25This requires also a to be low relative to :

21

Page 23: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

level of emissions. The following remark explains.

Remark 8 The equilibrium output and emissions levels are lower when the

environmentalits participate than when they do not participate for a givenk.

Proof. We know that the equilibrium output will be higher if x = 0 than

is if x > 0, given that @q�i@x< 0: Recall that the emissions levels in market i

are calculated as yi = kiqi. For a given k, therefore, the di¤erence between

the emissions levels with and without the environmentalists�participation is

determined by the di¤erence in the equilibrium output levels. QED.

However, as the participation of the environmentalists� in the permits

market will in�uence �rms�technological choice, it is necessary to go beyond

the analysis of output and emissions levels for given values of k. In the

previous section, we have shown that �rms will choose a more polluting

technology in the absence than in the presence of the environmentalists for

intermediate values of z and that for low or high levels of z, the opposite

holds. As a consequence of this, and given that the equilibrium output levels

are decreasing in k, we can state the following.

Remark 9 For relatively high values of z, �rms choose a more pollutingtechnology (higher k) but produce less if the environmentalists are present in

the ETS. For intermediate values of z, the opposite holds. For low values of

z , the environmentalists may choose not to participate in the ETS.

Proof. From remark 8, we know that the equilibrium output level is higher

without than with the environmentalists for a given k. Furthermore, from

remarks 1 and 5 we know that the equilibrium level of output is increasing

in k in both cases. From remark 7 we know that �rms choose less (more)

polluting technologies when the environmentalists are present than when

they are absent for high values of z but the opposite holds for intermediate

values of z. Further, we know that x > 0 requires z to be relatively large.

22

Page 24: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

In other words, for low values of z, the environmentalists may choose not to

participate in the ETS. The rest of the remark follows. QED.

The last result does not mean that the total level of emissions would

actually increase if environmentalists who are characterised by high degrees

of impure altruism participated in the ETS. In fact, remark 9 emphasizes the

existence of a trade-o¤ between the technology choice and also the level of

output. Interestingly, higher degrees of impure altruism can actually induce

�rms to adopt worse technologies but can also lead to lower output and

emissions levels. We can use some numerical examples to illustrate this. Let

us assume that a = 1 and = 1; in such a case, the equilibrium technology

choice in the absence of the environmentalists is k�NG = 0:933 and the total

output (qi+qj) and total emissions (yi+yj) are respectively 0:432 and 0:406.

Now assume that the environmentalists are characterised by a (relatively)

high degree of impure altruism, for example, z = 1:1. In such a case, the

equilibrium technology choice is more polluting (k�G = 0:963) but the total

emissions level is lower (yi+yj = 0:086). In contrast, if the environmentalists

were characterised by an intermediate z, for example, z = 0:5, they would

induce the adoption of a less polluting (k�G = 0:90) although at the expense

of a rise in the level of total emissions (yi + yj = 0:392):The reason for this

is that in the �rst case (z = 1:1) �rms adjust their output level downwards

(total output in this case is 0:090) while in the second case (z = 0:5), they

do the opposite (total output is 0:434).

6 Conclusions

In this paper we examine the participation of environmental groups in

the Emissions Trading System (ETS) and its e¤ects on �rms�technological

choices. We analyze the case where there are two �rms in the tradable permits

market which are acting as duopsonists in the product market and can choose

their manufacturing technologies among a continuum of technologies which

23

Page 25: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

di¤er in their degree of environmental friendliness and their set-up costs.We

assume that "greener" technologies are more expensive to adopt. In the

spirit of Andreoni (1989, 1990), we consider that the environmentalists are

impurely altruistic, that is, they do not only decide on the number of permits

to withdraw based on standard social welfare evaluation, but also take into

account the increase in satisfaction they obtain from withdrawing permits.

We show that the environmentalists�participation in the ETS can induce

�rms to choose a "greener" technology than they would choose in their ab-

sence. However, this requires that the environmental group is characterized

by intermediate degrees of impure altruism. Hence allowing the environmen-

talists to participation in the ETS can be used as a policy tool to accelerate

the adoption of less polluting technologies.

However, for very high degrees of impure altruism the presence of the

environmental group in the ETS could actually induce the �rms to adopt a

more polluting (non-green) technology. This does not imply that the total

level of emissions would actually increase. In fact, two aspects of the problem

must be considered: the technology choice and the level of output. Higher

degrees of impure altruism can actually induce �rms to adopt worse tech-

nologies but could also lead to lower output levels. In fact, the interaction

between these two e¤ects could lead to lower emissions levels for high degrees

of impure altruism.

From the policy point of view it is important to be aware of the di¤erent

outcomes that will be achieved depending on the priorities of the third parties

participating in the ETS. If the third parties highly prioritise the reduction

of available permits over other surplus related objectives, their participation

will lead to a reduction of emissions at the expense of consumer and pro-

ducer welfare. However, if they do not give such priority to the withdrawal

of permits, their participation could lead to technological improvements but

not deliver in terms of total emissions. Hence, if the policy maker�s primary

objective is to reduce the level of total emissions, allowing the participa-

24

Page 26: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

tion of third parties with a strong preference for the withdrawal of permits

would be a good policy option although it would not induce the adoption of

less polluting manufacturing technologies but, rather, a reduction in output

levels.

25

Page 27: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

7 References

1. Ahlheim, M., and Schneider, F. 2002. �Allowing for household pref-

erences in emission trading,�Environmental and Resource Economics,

21: 317 �342.

2. Andreoni, J. 1989. �Giving with impure altruism: Applications to

charity and Ricardian equivalence,�Journal of Political Economy, 97:

1447 �1458.

3. Andreoni, J. 1990. �Impure altruism and donations to public goods:

A theory of warm-glow-giving,�Economic Journal, 100: 464 �477.

4. Bernard, A., Haurie, A., Vielle, M., and Vinguier, L. 2008. �A two-

level dynamic game of carbon emission trading between Russia, China

, and Annex B countries,�Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,

32: 1830 �1856.

5. Böhringer, C., Moslener, U., and Sturm, B. 2006. �Hot air for sale:

A quantitative assessment of Russia�s near-term climate policy op-

tions,�Environmental and Resource Economics, 38: 545 �572.

6. Bohringer, C., and Vogt, C. 2003. �Economic and environmental im-

pacts of the Kyoto Protocol,�Canadian Journal of Economics, 36: 475

�494.

7. Böhringer, C., and Vogt, C. 2004. �The dismantling of a breakthrough:

The Kyoto Protocol as symbolic policy,�European Journal of Political

Economy, 20: 597 �617.

8. Boyd, J., and Conley, J. 1997. �Fundamental nonconvexities in Arrov-

ian markets and a Coasian solution to the problem of externalities,�

Journal of Economic Theory, 72: 388 �407.

26

Page 28: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

9. Chakravorty, U., Roumasset, J., and Tse, K. 1997. �Endogenous sub-

stitution among energy resources and global warming,�Journal of Po-

litical Economy, 105: 1201 �1234.

10. Coase, R. 1960. �The Problem of social cost,� Journal of Law and

Economics, 3: 1 �44.

11. Conley, J., and Smith, S. 2005. �Coasian equilibrium,� Journal of

Mathematical Economics, 41: 687 �704.

12. Dales, J. H. 1968. �Pollution, property and prices,�Toronto: Univer-

sity of Toronto Press.

13. English, D., and Yates, A. 2007. �Citizens�demand for permits and

Kwerel�s incentive compatible mechanism for pollution control,�Eco-

nomics Bulletin, 17: 1 �9.

14. Fischer, C., Parry, I. W. H., and Pizer, W. A. 2003. �Instrument

choice for environmental protection when technological innovation is

endogenous,�Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,

45: 523 �545.

15. Goulder, L. H., and Mathai, K. 2000. �Optimal CO2 abatement in the

presence of induced technological change,� Journal of Environmental

Economics and Management, 39: 1 �38.

16. Goulder, L. H., and Schneider, S. H. 1999. �Induced technological

change and the attractiveness of CO2 abatement policies,� Resource

and Energy Economics, 21: 211 �253.

17. Hahn, R. W., and Stavins, R. N. 1992. �Incentive-based environmental

regulation: A new era from an old idea?,�Ecology Law Quarterly, 18:

23 �25.

27

Page 29: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

18. Israel, D. 2007. �Environmental participation in the U.S. sulphur al-

lowance auctions,�Environmental and Resource Economics, 38: 373 �

390.

19. Joskow, P. L., Schmalensee, R., and Bailey, E. M. 1998. �The market

for sulfur dioxide emissions,�American Economic Review, 88: 669 �

685.

20. Kennedy, P. W. 1999. �Learning about environment damage: Implica-

tions for emissions trading,�Canadian Journal of Economics, 32: 1313

�1327.

21. Kerr, S., and Newell, R. G. 2003. �Policy-induced technology adop-

tion: Evidence from the U.S. lead phasedown,� Journal of Industrial

Economics, LI: 317 �343.

22. Klepper, G., and Peterson, S. 2005. �Trading Hot-Air �The in�uence

of permit allocation rules, market power and the US withdrawal from

the Kyoto Protocol,�Environmental and Resource Economics, 32: 205

�227.

23. Kwerel, E. 1977. �To Tell the truth: Imperfect information and optimal

pollution control,�Review of Economic Studies, 44: 595 �601.

24. Malueg, D. A., and Yates, A. J. 2006. �Citizen participation in pollu-

tion permit markets,�Journal of Environmental Economics and Man-

agement, 51: 205 �217.

25. Newbery, D. M. 2008. �Climate change policy and its e¤ect on market

power in the gas market,�Journal of the European Economic Associ-

ation, 6: 727 �751.

26. Newell, R. G., Ja¤e, A. B., and Stavins, R. N. 1999. �The induced inno-

vation hypothesis and energy-saving technological change,�Quarterly

Journal of Economics, 114: 941 �975.

28

Page 30: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

27. Popp, D. 2002. �Induced innovation and energy prices,� American

Economic Review, 92: 160 �180.

28. Requate, T., and Unold, W. 2003. �Environmental policy incentives

to adopt advanced abatement technology: Will the true ranking please

stand up?,�European Economic Review, 47: 125 �146.

29. Rousse, O. 2008. �Environmental and economic bene�ts resulting from

citizens�participation in CO2 emissions trading: An e¢ cient alterna-

tive solution to the voluntary compensation of CO2 emissions,�Energy

Policy, 36: 388 �397.

30. Schwarze, R., and Zapfel, P. 2000. �Sulfur allowance trading and the

regional clean air incentives market: a comparative design analysis of

two major cap-and-trade permit programs?,�Environmental and Re-

source Economics, 17: 279 �298.

31. Shrestha, R. 1998. �Uncertainty and the choice of policy instruments:

A note On Baumol and Oates propositions,�Environmental and Re-

source Economics, 12: 497 �505.

32. Smith, C. S., and Yates, J. A. 2003a. �Optimal pollution permit en-

dowments in markets with endogenous emissions,�Journal of Environ-

mental Economics and Management, 46: 425 �445.

33. Smith, C. S., and Yates, J. A. 2003b. �Should consumers be priced

out of pollution-permit markets?,�Journal of Economic Education, 34:

181 �189.

34. Stevens, B., and Rose, A. 2002. �A dynamic analysis of the mar-

ketable permits approach to global warming policy: A comparison of

spatial and temporal �exibility,�Journal of Environmental Economics

and Management, 44: 45 �69.

29

Page 31: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

35. United Nations. 1998. �Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Frame-

work Convention on Climate Change.�

8 Appendix

Proof of remark 2. The FOC @�i@ki

= 0 evaluated in symmetry can be

written as

@�i;NG@ki

= 2 (1�k)�4a2k(1 + k2)(2 + k2)2(4 + 3k2)

(4(1 + k2) + k2(4 + 3k2))3+

2a2k(2 + k2)

(4(1 + k2) + k2(4 + 3k2))2

which we can rewrite as

@�i;NG@ki

= a2�2

a2(1� k)� 4k(1 + k

2)(2 + k2)2(4 + 3k2)

(4(1 + k2) + k2(4 + 3k2))3+

2k(2 + k2)

(4(1 + k2) + k2(4 + 3k2))2

�and rearranging

@�i;NG@ki

=�2a2

(2 + k2)(2 + 3k2)3

where =� a2(2 + 3k2)3((k � 1)(2 + k2)) + k(6 + 11k2 + 6k4)

�. Crucially

@�i@ki

= 0 if and only if = 0: Using the implicit function theorem we can

characterise the optimal k that makes , and therefore @�i@ki= 0. The deriva-

tive of with respect of a2is given by

@

@( a2)= (2 + 3k2)3((k � 1)(2 + k2))

It is immediate to see that (2 + 3k2)3 > 0 and ((k � 1)(2 + k2)) for 8k 2(0; 1]:Therefore @

@( a2)< 0: On the other hand, the derivative of with respect

of k is given by

30

Page 32: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

@

@k= 6 + 33k2 + 30k4 +

a2(2 + 3k2)2(4� 40k + 48k2 � 24k3 + 27k4)

which is positive under condition 1 (SOC ful�lled). To sum up, @@(

a2)< 0

and @@k> 0. Using the implicit function theorem, we therefore know that

@k�i;NG@(

a2)= �

@@(

a2)

@@k

< 0

QED

Proof of strategic substitutability/complementarity: Condition 1implies that the SOC for a maximum is ful�lled, that is @2�i

@k2i< 0: Using the

implicit function theorem, we can characterise the sign of the relationship

between ki and kj in equilibrium, that is sign( @ki@kj) = sign(�

@�i@kj@�i@ki

): It follows

that if @�i@kj

> 0, then @ki@kj

> 0 (strategic complements) and if @�i@kj

< 0, then@ki@kj

> 0 (strategic substitutes). Calculating the derivative of �i with respect

to kj and applying symmetry yields

@�i@kj

=�2a2k(1 + k2)�

(4(1 + k2) + k2(4 + 3k2))3

where � = (8 � 8k4 � 4k2(3 + k2) + k4(�4 + 3k2) + k2(8 + 6k2 � 6k4)).It is obvious that the denominator of @�i

@kjis positive and that k(1 + k2) is

positive. Therefore, the sign of � will determine the sign of @�i@kj: In fact, �

is positive if k < 0:816497 and negative if k > 0:816497. This implies that

for k < 0:816497, @�i@kj

< 0 and as a consequence, @ki@kj

is negative (technology

choices are strategic substitutes) and for k > 0:816497, @�i@kj

> 0 and as a

consequence, @ki@kj

is positive (technology choices are strategic complements).

QED.

Proof of remark 3: Using the implicit function theorem, the slope of

the function k�i (z) is given by@k�i@z= �

@2�i;G

@ki@z

@2�i;G

@k2i

. Focusing on the case where

31

Page 33: Elias Asproudis, University of Loughborough, UK Maria José ... · Dpt Economics Loughborough University ... 1. 1 Introduction Emissions trading systems (ETS henceforth) are market

a, and z take values that guarantee that the SOC for a maximum is met,@2�i;G@k2i

< 0: Therefore, the sign of @k�i

@zdepends on the sign of @

2�i;G@ki@z

: If it is

positive (negative), then @k�i@z> (<)0. The cross derivative @2�i;G

@ki@zis given by

@2�i;G@ki@z

=a� + z+ �

2(1 + k)2(2 + k2)(4 + 2k2)3

where � = �64 � 392k2 � 762k4 � 762k4 � 593k6 � 144k8 + 15k10; =

64k+384k3+784k5+664k7+204k9 and � = 96k3+344k5+380k7+140k9.

It is easy to check that the denominator of @2�i;G@ki@z

is positive and therefore,

the sign of @2�i;G@ki@z

depends on its of the numerator. Further, it is easy to

check that �<0; > 0 and � > 0 for any k 2 (0; 1]. The denominator willbe positive if a� + z + � > 0 and negative if a� + z + � < 0: Solving

the equation a� + z+ � = 0, we can �nd the critical value of z, zcv above

(below) which @2�i;NG@ki@z

is positive (negative). As a consequence, if z > (<)

zcv,@k�i@z> (<)0. This critical value is zcv = ���a�

: As � < 0, it is easy to

check that @zcv@a> 0, therefore, the critical value is increasing in a. QED.

32


Recommended